Pivotal readouts on deck as Takeda sees stagnant sales this year
Title
Takeda Prepares for Pivotal Phase 3 Readouts Amid Flat 2025 Sales Forecast
Keywords
- Takeda
- Pivotal readouts
- Phase 3 trials
- Late-stage pipeline
- Flat sales outlook
- Vyvanse generics
- Rusfertide
- Growth & Launch Products
- Regulatory filings
- Pharmaceutical earnings
Key Facts
- Takeda forecasts "broadly flat" sales and operating profit for fiscal year 2025, citing the final substantial headwinds from the loss of Vyvanse exclusivity and generics competition1.
- The company labels FY2025 as a pivotal year, with significant investment in launch readiness for its late-stage drug pipeline1.
- Takeda anticipates up to six new molecular entities in Phase 3 development during FY2025, with three major Phase 3 data readouts either recently completed or expected within the year1.
- A positive Phase 3 readout for rusfertide in oncology was achieved in March 2025, and two additional Phase 3 readouts are expected in core therapeutic areas this fiscal year15.
- Takeda aims for three regulatory filings in FY2025–FY2026, and five more by FY2029; six late-stage programs could collectively generate between $10 billion and $20 billion in peak revenues, supporting long-term growth3.
- The company is balancing Growth & Launch Product momentum against patent expiry losses and is implementing cost efficiencies to drive operating profit13.
- Takeda announced a new share buyback program of up to JPY 100 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth and a commitment to shareholder returns3.
- A proposed dividend increase from JPY 196 to JPY 200 has been announced for shareholders1.
Sources:
1. https://www.takeda.com/newsroom/newsreleases/2025/takeda-announces-fy2024-full-year-results-and-fy2025-outlook/
3. https://www.takeda.com/newsroom/newsreleases/2025/takeda-delivers-strong-third-quarter-fy2024-results/
5. https://www.takeda.com/newsroom/newsreleases/2025/positive-topline-results-from-verify-study/