Pivotal readouts on deck as Takeda sees stagnant sales this year

Title

Takeda Prepares for Pivotal Phase 3 Readouts Amid Flat 2025 Sales Forecast

Keywords

  • Takeda
  • Pivotal readouts
  • Phase 3 trials
  • Late-stage pipeline
  • Flat sales outlook
  • Vyvanse generics
  • Rusfertide
  • Growth & Launch Products
  • Regulatory filings
  • Pharmaceutical earnings

Key Facts

  • Takeda forecasts "broadly flat" sales and operating profit for fiscal year 2025, citing the final substantial headwinds from the loss of Vyvanse exclusivity and generics competition1.
  • The company labels FY2025 as a pivotal year, with significant investment in launch readiness for its late-stage drug pipeline1.
  • Takeda anticipates up to six new molecular entities in Phase 3 development during FY2025, with three major Phase 3 data readouts either recently completed or expected within the year1.
  • A positive Phase 3 readout for rusfertide in oncology was achieved in March 2025, and two additional Phase 3 readouts are expected in core therapeutic areas this fiscal year15.
  • Takeda aims for three regulatory filings in FY2025–FY2026, and five more by FY2029; six late-stage programs could collectively generate between $10 billion and $20 billion in peak revenues, supporting long-term growth3.
  • The company is balancing Growth & Launch Product momentum against patent expiry losses and is implementing cost efficiencies to drive operating profit13.
  • Takeda announced a new share buyback program of up to JPY 100 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth and a commitment to shareholder returns3.
  • A proposed dividend increase from JPY 196 to JPY 200 has been announced for shareholders1.

Sources:

1. https://www.takeda.com/newsroom/newsreleases/2025/takeda-announces-fy2024-full-year-results-and-fy2025-outlook/

3. https://www.takeda.com/newsroom/newsreleases/2025/takeda-delivers-strong-third-quarter-fy2024-results/

5. https://www.takeda.com/newsroom/newsreleases/2025/positive-topline-results-from-verify-study/

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